Living proof
A full audit fixed the engine. Rather than dressing up the statistics, we excluded every past signal and restarted the counter from zero — publicly, with a detailed account of what went wrong.
Read the post-mortem →Three counts, one rolling window. Only published decisions enter the accuracy statistics.
No signal declined over the last 7 days: unfavourable market regime, contradicting rules, move already priced in. Every refusal is logged and auditable.
Geopolitical intelligence
Alerts in action
A published rule combines the geopolitical risk index (≥ 7/10) with a drop of more than 2% in gold over 48h.
Geopolitical risk ≥ 7/10, Crypto Fear & Greed at 11 (source: Alternative.me), near-inverted yield curve. A contrarian setup the engine monitors continuously.
Three recession conditions are monitored: negative 10Y-2Y spread, unemployment above 5% and rising, financial stress in its highest decile over ten years.
Geopolitical risk ≥ 8/10 + Crypto Fear & Greed < 15 (source: Alternative.me). Markets selling in panic — the engine records it and journals it, timestamped.
Total transparency
No cherry-picking. No hindsight bias. Every signal is timestamped and immutable.
Signals will be displayed here once resolved.
Our engines continuously analyze global geopolitical events and correlate them with markets.
Each event is scored by AI: severity, category and contextual reasoning. The rules then cross events, prices and macro series.
When the signal expires, the result is published. The rule weight adjusts automatically.
One account, one verified email address: everything is open.
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