LIVE

Geopolitical Market Intelligence

Geopolitics
explain the markets

AI analysis of events, 46 signal rules across 15 assets, 50 assets tracked, macro series (FRED).
Every day: what's moving in the world, and what it means for your assets.

Open an accountView dashboard
24/7 market monitoring
Public, verifiable method
Free — no card required

Living proof

A track record rebuilt from zero,
in front of you

Counter reset on July 4, 2026

A full audit fixed the engine. Rather than dressing up the statistics, we excluded every past signal and restarted the counter from zero — publicly, with a detailed account of what went wrong.

Read the post-mortem →

Latest verified signal

The engine is rebuilding its history in public. No signal in progress — every resolution will show up here, won or lost.

Truth Board →

An engine that knows how to say no

—none today

No signal declined over the last 7 days: unfavourable market regime, contradicting rules, move already priced in. Every refusal is logged and auditable.

Geopolitical intelligence

Global events and the markets,
observed in one place

Observed correlations

The asset correlation matrix, over a 30-day window, recomputed every 15 minutes.

Automatic Crisis Mode

When risk exceeds 8/10, GeoPulse enters crisis mode: immediate alert and a flagged state on the dashboard — the collection cadence is published and does not change.

46 signal rules

Cross-asset price moves, macro (FRED), crypto sentiment and, for a few rules, AI-scored events. Bayesian weights recomputed from live results and the latest replay.

AI analysis per event

Collected events are scored by an AI model: severity, assets involved and contextual reasoning. When the model is unavailable, keyword scoring takes over.

Open method

Signals sealed at issuance, mistakes shown, counter reset after our own audit. Nothing is edited after the fact.

Smart alerts

Divergences, breakouts, inverted correlations: detection of anomalies invisible to the naked eye.

Replay your filters on the simulated portfolio

Every decision is tracked in a simulated portfolio of $1,000 per position. On Premium, it is replayed through YOUR filters — categories, horizons, minimum confidence — to show what your reading would have returned against the default one. A simulation for calibration, zero euros committed.

Signals sealed at emission

Every signal is SHA-256 hashed and published before its outcome is known. The exact payload is revealed 24 h later, or at resolution: it cannot be rewritten afterwards without breaking the seal. The verification recipe is public — you can redo it yourself.

What we refused to trade

Unfavourable market regime, rules in contradiction, move already priced, two AI models disagreeing: every abstention is published with its reason. That is the half of the work nobody shows.

Fundamental and positioning vetoes

A bullish oil signal is blocked if EIA inventories contradict it; on wheat or corn, if the WASDE report disagrees; everywhere, if CFTC positioning is already at an extreme. Official data has the last word over the rule.

Alerts in action

What an alert tells you

CONFLUENCEXAU

High geopolitical risk + gold down over 48h → XAU ↑ hypothesis

A published rule combines the geopolitical risk index (≥ 7/10) with a drop of more than 2% in gold over 48h.

SENTIMENTBTC

Triple convergence → Strong contrarian signal

Geopolitical risk ≥ 7/10, Crypto Fear & Greed at 11 (source: Alternative.me), near-inverted yield curve. A contrarian setup the engine monitors continuously.

MACROXAUUS10Y

Inverted yield curve + rising unemployment → Risk-off

Three recession conditions are monitored: negative 10Y-2Y spread, unemployment above 5% and rising, financial stress in its highest decile over ten years.

BEHAVIORALBTCXAU

Geopolitical panic detected

Geopolitical risk ≥ 8/10 + Crypto Fear & Greed < 15 (source: Alternative.me). Markets selling in panic — the engine records it and journals it, timestamped.

Total transparency

What we observe — and what we refuse to trade

No cherry-picking. No hindsight bias. Every signal is timestamped and immutable.

Signals will be displayed here once resolved.

How it works

STEP 01

We scan

Our engines continuously analyze global geopolitical events and correlate them with markets.

STEP 02

We connect

Each event is AI-scored: severity, direction, and estimated impact on each of your assets.

STEP 03

We verify

When the signal expires, the result is published. The rule weight adjusts automatically.

Simple pricing

Start free. Upgrade to Premium when you're ready.

Free

0€
  • ✓Full dashboard, 50 assets tracked
  • ✓Prices up to 365 days (assets with a displayed level), metrics over 7 days
  • ✓All alerts & signals
  • ✓All indicators (macro, sentiment, NLP)
Get started
Popular

Premium

29€/month
  • ✓Everything in Free
  • ✓Instant push notifications
  • ✓CSV exports (signals + macro)
  • ✓Full calibration + per-asset alerts
  • ✓Priority support, reply within 1 business day
Get started

API

49€/month
  • ✓Read-only REST access
  • ✓30 req/min · 10,000/day per account
  • ✓Webhooks
  • ✓Quota usage on your account
  • ✓JSON data
Contact us
Detailed comparison →

Data and analysis from

KrakenGDELT ProjectEuropean Central BankIEXYahoo FinanceDatabentoNewsData.ioFarsideAlternative.meFREDEIACFTCUSDAUSDA AMS Market NewsFederal Reserve BoardEPU (Baker, Bloom & Davis)

Event analysis powered by

Mistral AIGoogle Gemini
Sign up in 30 seconds

Stop reacting to the news.
Read it on your assets.

Join investors who use geopolitics as a competitive advantage.

Free. No credit card required.